For now, well be focused on development for the young pitchers and the eventual debuts of Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. CLE Cleveland Guardians. Even more surprising, potentially letting Freddie Freeman walk in free agency. Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports. (Get latest betting odds) Manchester City and Newcastle United face . These are the teams with the top odds: 1. The AL playoff picture will likely not come as a surprise. They are picked as a slight favorite to win the Commissioner's Trophy, just edging out the Blue Jays. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnauts MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more. With Seattle, Los Angeles, and Texas each loading up on talent this offseason, will the Carlos Correa-less Astros . March 30, 2022. I like getting late in the signing process and just going offense by adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to Bryce Harper et al in the lineup, though. Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. A young Tigers team will take another step forward . Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. Considering the randomness involved, predicting the yearly MLB saves leader might be as difficult as any stat in baseball. As of now, this is the best team in the AL East. With Chris Bassitt, Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer lined up . There are question marks all over the place, as I explained in the preview. Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. Atlanta can erase some of our concerns by acquiring Matt Olson. Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon showed they can make a promising tandem fans of the franchise can build around. The model narrowly projects there to be three teams in the NL East reach the playoffs, with the Mets and Phillies earning wild cards to join the division-winning Padres. ET. It's fun when you hit it and you get to show you're mature enough to be accountable and use self-deprecating humor when you lose badly. November 17, 2021 Mitch Hill MLB. The model isn't as bullish on San Diego as others due to concerns over Tatis' ability to play a full season and the depth in the lineup, but it's easy to see this being the magical year for which many have been waiting. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the UFC 285: Shevchenko vs. Grasso odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. However, pitching is a major concern. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. The Atlanta Braves surprised everyone by winning the World Series. A lineup that already featured the reigning MVP in Bryce Harper added the dynamic bat of Nick Castellanos and left-handed slugger Kyle Schwarber. Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. As for Oakland, it already traded Chris Bassitt, Matt Olson and Matt Chapman. There are six divisions in the MLB, divided into three . If the snake-bitten franchise gets full seasons from Anthony Rendon, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Noah Syndergaard, its a no-doubt playoff team. If Jack Flaherty is unavailable for a majority of the season, though, that significantly changes the Cardinals outcome. O/U wins: 91.5. By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. Not only is Chicagos rotation among the best in the AL, its lineup is also outstanding. Throw in a few more guys like Gunnar Henderson and DL Hall, and this team could be fun to watch in a few years. The one thing missing is another quality outfielder to fill out the lineup. The influx of multiple 100-win teams per season these last handful of years isn't a coincidence, in my view. section: | slug: mlb-win-totals-each-teams-2022-projection-plus-best-bets-on-over-unders-for-dodgers-cardinals-more | sport: baseball | route: article_single.us | Clayton Kershaw has struggled to stay healthy, but has been dominant when on the mound. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. Now in the new year, they'll have a target on their backs as several teams loaded up this offseason with the goal of avoiding a repeat champion. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. Offensively, there is room for improvement on this team in 2022. This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. 3 - New York Mets. 8,128 plate appearances. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. Tampa Bay Rays The 2022 MLB season is finally here. With that said, adding Chris Archer is a nice low-risk, high-reward move that should add more stability to Minnesotas pitching staff. However, the Mets will still be in a prime position to compete and will likely make a big splash in the 2023 postseason. Torontos moves this offseason inspire confidence Canada might host a World Series game. It should be a fourth consecutive last-place season for the Pirates, who hope Ke'Bryan Hayes bounces back and prospectOneil Cruz brings some excitement. Zac Gallen and Luke Weaver look like they could front Arizona's rotation at some point, but for now, those two spots belong to the more experienced Merrill Kelly and Madison Bumgarner. Trained by Michael McCarthy, Lugan Knight has two wins, one second and . Losing Carlos Correa hurts, its why were not projecting the Astros to win the AL pennant, but theres a real gap between Houston and its competition in the division. Replacing set-up man Craig Kimbrel with outfielder A.J. 2022 MLB preseason predictions: World Series, MVP and Cy Young bets we're counting on this year. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. The moves made this offseason ensure this team will be competitive, maybe even enough to play in October under a 14-team playoff format. The slugging corner infielders of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado make up a powerful middle-of-the-order tandem, and Tommy Edman should help at the top of the lineup. There is some volatility in our projections for theBraves, who look like the favorite to win the NL East but finish as low as third place in the division standings. MLB OFFSEASON GRADES:Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse. After the NL East race came down to the wire in 2022, with the Braves edging the Mets via tiebreaker after both won 101 games, the two teams had drastically different offseasons. The Major League Baseball awards are being finalized and various teams and players are being recognized for their performances this past season. But after Los Angeles lost a number of key players and steered clear of this offseasons free-agent bonanza, the clubs grip on the division could be loosening. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors But neither system is buying Texas as a contender in 2023. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. Instead, they missed the playoffs. The model likes the Dodgers to win the pennant and finish with the best record in baseball, while the Giants are the second-most likely team to win the pennant, barely edging out the Braves, who are likely to earn the second bye by virtue of winning their division with the second-best record among division winners. By Dom Luszczyszyn. The reigning World Series winners emerge as the favorites to win their division, with New York and Philadelphia appearing as strong contenders for wild cards. The Philadelphia Phillies committed to spending money this offseason, improving the lineup with Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos. Picking the White Sox to run away with the division is certainly correct, but the rest of the standings feel a bit jumbled given recent history. However, concerns at catcher and in the outfield put SF a tier below the Dodgers. AL Central predictions. The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. The St. Louis Cardinals strengthened their rotation depth this offseason, signing Steven Matz. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Pair that with the injury concerns we have for multiple starters, its enough to put this team a tier behind the Blue Jays. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. The injury to Jacob deGrom is a major blow to the Mets' chances of winning the division, but if he's healthy once he comes back from his shoulder injury, New York would look like one of the best teams in the NL. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. And during the postseason, that anything-can-happen dynamic only grows stronger, with MLB's new, expanded format only increasing the number of potential outcomes. Check out the Major League Baseball Detailed Standings including East, Central and West Division Stats on Baseball-Reference.com. 2022-23 English Premier League Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds, picks: Predictions and best bets for Saturday's match from proven soccer expert . Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. Related: Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! The Detroit Tigers farm system leads us to believe they are a future World Series contender, but the big leap isnt coming until 2023. 2023 Playoff Odds, . Jarred Kelenic still needs to make a lot of strides. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, well provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors. The Cardinals often get far too much from their starters than they should. However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. All posts tagged "MLB" Feb. 22, 2023. . Like the Tigers,the Royals are loaded with MLB-ready talent from Bobby Witt Jr., MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto all expected to reach the big leagues at some point during the season to add to an offense that already includes Salvador Perez, Nicky Lopez and Whit Merrifield. But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year? Toronto Blue Jays. Last year, Casey Mize, Matt Manning and Tarik Skubal got a taste of the big leagues and showed promise, and will be expected to take it a step farther in 2022. The results, Marcus Stroman being replaced by Max Scherzer and holes in the lineup being filled by Starling Marte, Mark Canha and Eduardo Escobar. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. 11m ago. But as you might expect, they don't agree on everything. I'm more a fan of being right and this one was just pulling me in. Three were on pace in whatever the 2020 season was. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. The GB column is an abbreviation for Games Back and it shows how far teams are behind the leader of the division or put simply, first place. Needless to say, our MLB predictions arent quite as high on the Boston Red Sox. The Mariners, as currently constructed, are going to be a better, more well-rounded baseball team in 2022 than they were in 2021. There's certainly a void in the lineup without Tatis (and once his wrist is fully recovered, do we trust his shoulder to stay put the rest of the way?) Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. That'll change this year, despite his being projected to hit ten to fifteen fewer homers than that. They're expected to have the league's highest payroll in 2023, but it won't be enough. Read on for predictions for every game involving a Top 25 team on the schedule over the next seven days. I don't know why, though. But the top two teams in the NL are the same as last year's: the Dodgers and Giants. After missing the playoffs by one game last season, 2022 could end up as the perfect year for the Jays to represent the AL in the World Series. The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team. We also like the move to acquire both Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez. We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. For now, with everyone healthy, this looks like a Wild Card team that doesnt reach the ALDS. EX. Our MLB projections will impact our projected postseason bracket. It's Cleveland vs. Minnesota for the AL Central title. New York received good news with the restrictions on unvaccinated players being lifted. In fact, they lost their top free agent, shortstop Dansby Swanson, to the Cubs. After adding closer Craig Kimbrel, the gap between Los Angeles and its NL West foes is even wider. TEX Texas Rangers. Wed also feel comfortable projecting a Willson Contreras trade in our MLB predictions, coming in July. They could match that in 2022. Here are the way too early MLB 2022 standings predictions for the American League. The rotation remains the bright spot with Shane Bieber leading a staff that featured a breakout season from Cal Quantrill and solid campaigns from Triston McKenzie, Zach Plesac and Aaron Civale. Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the brightest stars when he's healthy and Manny Machado gives him powerful protection in the lineup. ET (ESPN). Instead, the club went 81-81 and missed the postseason, finishing 11 games behind the upstart Guardians. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). I'm going to, once again, hammer the over on the highest total. The Line: Man City -240 / Newcastle United +550 // Total: 2.5. Jose Ramirez can win an MVP, Franmil Reyes is capable of a .800-plus OPS and Myles Straw is an exciting talent. Chicago averaged nearly five runs a game with injuries limiting . Notably, ZiPS and PECOTA both project the Angels to be significantly better than the Rangers, whose moves have been much splashier than the Halos in the past two offseasons. The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. The Cherries are 19th in the standings with 21 points but trail Leeds United by one for 17th place. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22 offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening . For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. Trevor Story is out, but he had a down year anyway and Kris Bryant is in. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isn't thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. Each game is then simulated 20,000 times with park factors included in each matchup. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. Marcus Semien might have left in free agency, but Toronto acquired Matt Chapman to man third and give the team a star defender to the left of Bichette. With the exception of a 107-win season from the Giants in 2021, the Dodgers have owned the NL West for the past decade. We like the Zack Greinke return and have optimism for the Royals future, but 2022 wont be great. But there was actually a lot that went wrong with the Padres' pitching staff last season and they were still 67-49 through Aug. 10, a pace of 94 wins, before melting down the rest of the way. As far as my place in all this, feel free to jump over to my SportsLine page to see my picking acumen from last season. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. The Blue Jays were widely considered to be one of the AL favorites to reach the World Series entering 2022, but they ended up finishing seven games behind the Yankees in the AL East and were swept by the Mariners in the AL Wild Card Series. Standings. Rather astounding. With the signing of Max Scherzer and the acquisition of Bassitt, the Mets' 1-2-3 punch, when healthy, is now deGrom, Scherzer and Bassitt, and that's before getting to Taijuan Walker and Carlos Carrasco. For anyone followingthe Reds, this has been a puzzling offseason. The rotation could be in tatters behind Zack Wheeler. Derek Jeter left the Miami Marlins for a reason, he doesnt believe this team is all-in on winnings. Vlad Guerrero Jr. ties Joe DiMaggio for the 2nd-most HR . The Guardians did virtually nothing this winter, yet it wouldn't be shocking to see them finish second or third. The rotation is strong, especially after signing Carlos Rodn. We saw the Houston Astros add another division title to their collection last season despite the surprise surge from the Seattle Mariners. Everyone should. Most of all, the Rockies will continue to flex their muscles in Coors Field, where they were 48-33 last season. Support FanGraphs. . And while the Rays have been able to work around stuff like this the last several years, I don't believe they have the same combination of depth and talent in the bullpen to absorb the starter workload shortfall. MLB is back, but will fans be after ugly offseason? Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season. The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. All rights reserved. The Tigersare in a position where it feels like they are on the verge of putting it all together at the big-league level. Are the Braves even with the Mets, or way behind? "Ok . Dropping $500 million on a new middle infield (Corey Seager and Marcus Semien)got plenty of attention for the Rangers An ongoing clearance sale has the Athletics expected to finish last,but Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas give Oakland a little bit of upward mobility if they don't get shipped off, too. C'mon Rocks! Again, I don't think they'll be good, overall, but I have a buffer of 92 losses here, as 70-92 gets the job done. Coming off an 81-81 campaign, San Francisco had an offseason that can best be described as OK. The Giants had grand designs to add a superstar, but they came up short in the Judge sweepstakes and walked away from a deal with Carlos Correa, reportedly due to concerns about his physical. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. All Rights Reserved. The Blue Jays have constructed one of the most talented rosters in the AL, combining impressive young players such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Alejandro Kirk and Alek Manoah with veteran stars such as George Springer, Kevin Gausman and Matt Chapman, but the club has yet to break through as an AL powerhouse. It has been a discouraging offseason forAthletics'fans, who watched their two core Matts traded off to the Blue Jays (Chapman) and Braves (Olson), and standout arms Sean Manaea and Chris Bassitt traded to the Padres and Mets, respectively. It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. All Rights Reserved. PECOTA is much less bullish on the Giants, giving them a winning percentage below .500 and less than a 1% chance of winning the division. With considerable improvement expected from Ronald Acua Jr. and Ozzie Albies, ZiPS thinks Atlanta is in good shape, projecting the club for another tie with the Mets at 94 wins apiece. I'm counting on a huge year from Matt Chapman (as outlined in the preview) while the rotation has a full year of Jos Berros, a full year of Alek Manoah and newly-signed Kevin Gausman coming. Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. The Rockies don't figure to be in the mix for the playoffs in 2022, but that lineup could be fun to watch. Starting with the winners, there won't be many who will dispute that the White Sox should be the favorite to win the division. Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. This is an admittedly risky venture. As much as I love Shane McClanahan, he won't be carrying an ace workload. MORE: The Sporting News' 2022 MLB Opening Day Power Rankings Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season from TSN's panel of baseball experts. MLB predictions 2022: Final standings, playoff projections, World Series odds for every team, Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman, Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues, Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse, Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat, Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. Adam Wainwright was ridiculous down the stretch last season and it's hard to bet against him, but he's also 40 years old. We felt great about New Yorks rotation trio and even liked some of the depth behind it. It's been more than a decade since the Phillies made the playoffs but with Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber on board, this may be the best all-around team they've put together in recent years Credit to the Marlins for spending some money on Avisail Garcia ($53 million) and Jorge Soler ($36 million). However, this is still a loaded team. AL EAST. Everyone wants to see his light-tower power in the thin air of Coors Field, just as CJ Cron in his first year in Colorado. Were using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis. Here's who they think will rule the ninth inning in 2023. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. Kyle Tucker will now be seen as one of the offensive leaders, along with slugger Yordan Alvarez. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. Top 2023 Gotham Stakes predictions One shocker: Demling is high on Lugan Knight, who is tied for third in the odds, at 6-1. There are two MVP candidates in the lineup and the Trevor Story signing creates one of the best infield in MLB. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. since the new labor deal came together on March 10, and his new 11-year, $182 million contract, seemingly have to prove themselves all over again, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. LAD Los Angeles Dodgers. Witt Jr. could be the future face of MLB and Melendezs bat is convincing Kansas City to give the catching prospect a shot at other positions. 2022, 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting, 2022 MLB Standings, 2022 MLB Attendance, 2022 MLB Rookies , . 2 starter acquired before being more optimistic with our MLB predictions. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. Things have frantically fallen into place since the new labor deal came together on March 10, with every team trying to jam most of its winter moves into just a few weeks. All Rights Reserved. When the MLB playoffs begin, well provide predictions, matchup analysis and provide the full schedule for October baseball. Read more . The White Sox, who play in one of the weaker divisions, are the favorite to come away with the No. Fun fact: He finished the 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2021 seasons with a combined batting average in the .290s, so maybe it wasn't surprising that he finished his first MLB season 91 games for the . Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold. The Cardinals pitching may be a question mark, but the club has an excellent defense and good roster depth, not to mention a lineup featuring reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt at first base, perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado at third and new addition Willson Contreras at catcher. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. PECOTA projects both the Twins and Guardians for 88 wins, with the White Sox at 78. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No.